Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period ...

The warning lights on the U.S. economy are no longer faint or isolated, and the message from Moody's chief economist is that the risk of a downturn is now too large to shrug off. As growth slows, ...

The U.S. faces a 90% probability of entering a recession in 2025 unless current trade policies change, according to Apollo economists. This warning stems from simultaneous negotiations with 90 ...

The Israel-Iran conflict raises concerns over a potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Goldman Sachs and other banks warn of recession risks if global oil supply is disrupted. Higher oil prices ...

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There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of ...