That’s the central insight of Annie Duke’s Thinking in Bets: outcomes are noisy signals of decision quality. A bad decision can produce a good result. A good decision can produce a bad one. Investing ...
This paper examines whether Chinese development finance is associated with faster progress toward Millennium Development Goal style targets in low- and middle-income countries. We combine AidData’s ...
Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...
Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...
Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality worldwide, while depression is highly prevalent in this patient population and has long been regarded as an independent risk ...