Researchers at the Federal Reserve recently published a paper on Kalshi's effectiveness in predicting certain economic ...

Meteorologists use several weather projections, called forecast models, to guide their predictions. Here are a few of their differences.

The transformer-based model is being developed to help organizations—most notably in the finance industry—dig deeper into their data.

Objective probability estimates the odds of an event occurring through data analysis. It uses concrete measures instead of guesses to provide a reliable forecast.

Detecting behavioural signatures of depression from everyday digital traces is a central challenge in computational psychiatry. Real-world datasets from smartphones and wearables often suffer from ...

The conflict involving Iran is moving further up the escalation ladder, and White House advisor Robert Pape warns that we may be caught in an escalation trap. According to Pape, the next phase (stage ...